By 2031 the population of Primorye will decrease by 200 thousand
At the beginning of 2013 in Primorye population of 19473 thousand people, including 1490700 (76.6%) residents and 456600 (23.4%) in rural areas.
According to Rosstat calculating prospective population up to 2030 the trend to reduce the population of Primorye Territory continue. Presumably, at the beginning of 2031 the number of the littoral could reach 1736700 people: 1398800 (80.5%) of the urban population, and 337900 (19.5%) in rural areas.
The reduction will be due both to the out-migration, and due to the excess of deaths over births. Expected annual out-migration will increase gradually from 2 thousand people in 2013 to three thousand people in 2030.
It is assumed that the natural decline will increase more rapidly: from 4.4 thousand people in 2013 to 11700 in 2030 due to an expected decline in the birth rate. If you currently have children, women of the generations of the 1980s (under the influence of stimulating the birth rate measures the number of births has increased and the second or third children), in a few years we are waiting for the inevitable decline in the number of births, as to have children will be numerically small generation born in the 1990s. Also in 2030 the death rate 1.8 times can exceed the birth rate and 26.3 thousand.
The number of children and adolescents up to 16 years from the beginning of 2013 is estimated to be reduced beginning in 2031 by 13.7%. Significant reduction will occur and of the working population - 18.6%. Category of persons of retirement age will increase by 54.3 thousand people, and their share in the total amount to 28.4%.
As for life expectancy, then it is forecast to grow by 5.3%, from 67.8 years in 2013 to 71.4 years in 2030.
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