Chief meteorologist edge Boris Kubay, called a meeting on the forecast for the coming spring. Alarm specialist is a possible scenario in which will be breaking ice and high water in the rivers of Primorye.
— Now the situation is calm in the rivers, but the snow cover is one and a half times more than the average for the year. By the rivers of water supply exceeds the norm by 2-5 times. More soil begins to thaw, it all goes into the river. This has not happened in the history of our observations, and it is a hundred years old. Honestly, we do not know where it may lead.
— Do not have any idea what will happen?
— Experts Primgidrometa practiced two scenarios. The first is a prolonged spring, everything froze. During the maximum flood cyclones pass by, rain was observed. Then the situation relatively well is completed, the rise of water — 0.5-1 cm
Second — when opening the rivers occurs somewhat later, that we expect, and despite a long spring, will begin the process of rapid snowmelt. This does not exclude the imposition of rain floods. This hypothesis is supported by the situation in 2012 with cyclones and heavy rains. With the development of such a scenario is likely flooding of settlements and roads.
— That is not a good scenario. And from bad to what is prepared?
— I would like to warn you that you have to be ready for the second. The likelihood that the situation will be more serious than in the past 10 years, is quite high.
— But the repetition of the tragedy of the Crimean not worth waiting for?
— Dire consequences Krymsk due to the fact that the population was not warned of the evil. Officially Notifies that the rivers in the spring of Primorye possible sharp rise in the water. In the area of flooding — Spassky, Chuguevka, Lesozavodsk, Yakovlevka and towns.
— When exactly is expected of these evils?
— In early April will begin opening the rivers. In the second half of April, early May is expected maximum flood. If there will be rain, I said maybe.