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By 2030 the littoral become another 200000 less - Primorskstat

By 2030 the littoral become another 200000 less - Primorskstat

The population of the region, estimated at the beginning of 2013 amounted to 1947.3 thousand people, including citizens - 1490.7 thousand people (76.6%) and rural population - 456.6 thousand (23.4%).

From a computational perspective in population by 2030 (medium variant projection of the base at the beginning of 2012), prepared by the Federal State Statistics Service, the tendency to reduce the population of Primorye Territory continue. Estimated size of the littoral of the beginning in 2031 could reach 1736.7 thousand people, urban population - 1398.8 thousand people (80.5%), rural - 337.9 thousand (19.5%).

Population decline is due both to the out-migration, and by the excess of deaths over births. Expected annual out-migration will increase gradually - from 2 thousand in 2013 to 3 thousand people in 2030. It is assumed that the natural decline will increase more rapidly - from 4.4 thousand in 2013 to 11.7 thousand in 2030 this increase is due to an expected decline in the birth rate. Now women have children from numerous generations born in the 1980s. Under the influence of new measures to stimulate the birth rate has increased the number of births and the second or third child. In a few years we are waiting for the inevitable decline in the number of births, as to have children will be numerically small generation born in the 1990s. In 2030 the mortality rate is almost 1.8 times to exceed the birth rate and 26.3 thousand.

The number of children and adolescents up to 16 years from the beginning of 2013 is estimated to be reduced beginning in 2031 by 13.7%. Significant reduction will occur and of the working population - by 18.6%. Category of persons of retirement age will increase by 54.3 thousand people, and their share in the total amount to 28.4%.

Life expectancy is projected to increase from 67.8 years in 2013 to 71.4 in 2030 (by 5.3%).





Опубликовано:   4-04-2013, 08:20      |      Категория:  eng news
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